by Lee Adler, Wednesday, August 20, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 19, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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At the moment there are no sell signals on the 6 month cycle indicators, but this is something that I want to keep an eye on. Early sell signals could lead to a disastrous extended decline lasting into year end or even early next year. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 19, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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The Fed drained reserves again today, dropping Fed credit to near the lowest level of the past two months, and the past 3 years. Unless the Fed quickly reverses course, this could be a setup for another big downleg in stock prices. Meanwhile, the increasing spread between GSEs and Treasuries suggests that FCBs are continuing to support the Treasury market at the expense of the GSE paper market. It could mean that they no longer can support both, which would additionally mean that as tight as things have been for the stock market already, it could be even more starved for liquidity going forward. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 19, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition, Bellwethers |
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The charts in this report show the status of 21 large cap bellwether stocks with prices updated through 8/18/08. The charts include 13-week and/or 6 month cycle centered moving average projections. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 19, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Russ Winter, Tuesday, August 19, 2008, in Russ Winter, Russ's Blog |
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The banks are going to be on line for refinancing a significant quantity of maturing bonds. A recent new issue from American Express, who is considered a higher quality financial sector name highlights the fragile state of the financial system. This debt sold at a junk bond spread of 425 basis points over Treasuries. [...] To discuss this, or any issues pertaining to the economy and the financial markets,
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by Lee Adler, Monday, August 18, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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Market update for 8/18/08. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Monday, August 18, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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Indirect bidders appeared in force at today’s bill auctions keeping rates in check. It’s just more evidence that FCBs are still in the game. Meanwhile, the Fed continues to keep Fed credit flat. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Monday, August 18, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Russ Winter, Monday, August 18, 2008, in Russ Winter, Russ's Blog |
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My plans now are to go to a subscriber model for my efforts. It appears I have some devoted readers, but incredibly despite my track record of reporting the unfolding of this Bust, readership is slipping and has hardly grown for a year. I suppose you either get my language and approach or you don’t. [...] To discuss this, or any issues pertaining to the economy and the financial markets,
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by Lee Adler, Sunday, August 17, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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The market refused to give ground on Friday, keeping alive both a late stage 13 week cycle up phase and an early stage 6 month cycle up phase. So far, the latter has been weak and highly rotational, with some groups very weak while others are strong. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Andy Bebut, Sunday, August 17, 2008, in Finance, Economics |
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The principle of relativity, from Newtonian mechanics to Einstein/Lorentz/Poincaré theory of special relativity, has its roots in the basic principle that physical laws should be the same in all inertial reference frames. In other words, there is no such thing as an absolute motion.
Here I want to apply this simple principle of the absence of the absolute motion to the dollar.
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by Lee Adler, Friday, August 15, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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Latest cycle conditions and projections for the US Dollar Index and 10 Year Treasury Yield. Click links to download report in pdf format. (WSE Pro subscribers only). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Friday, August 15, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Andy Bebut, Thursday, August 14, 2008, in Finance, Economics |
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The latest podcast with David Goldman is, as usual, pretty grim. He has very casual, calm style of talking, thanks to the host, Tom Keen, who is always extremely friendly and careful with anyone, from the most insane optimist saying that the economy is about to accelerate big time to the economists that are practically predicting the depression, without saying the “D” word. Goldman is one of those.
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by Lee Adler, Thursday, August 14, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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Foreign central banks sold Agencies for the fourth week in a row this week, the first time that’s happened since it became important to track this activity 4 years ago. It bodes ill for Fannie and Freddie’s borrowing costs, for mortgage rates, and for the general stability of the financial system.
Meanwhile, the Fed got some help from a big Treasury paydown settling today. As a result Uncle Ben’s Pawn and Loan was able to drain reserves and the markets still rallied. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Thursday, August 14, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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The market maintained its mild uptrend on Thursday. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Russ Winter, Thursday, August 14, 2008, in Russ Winter, Russ's Blog |
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The pace of foreclosures continues a pace. With the subprime situation starting to ripen and mature, perhaps this suggests that the Alt A and Pay Option wall of the hurricane is coming ashore. This is real delayed time fuse explosive material too. By this I suggest that the recoveries will be even worse than for [...] To discuss this, or any issues pertaining to the economy and the financial markets,
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by Lee Adler, Thursday, August 14, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Wednesday, August 13, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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A second day of weakness was accompanied by few signs of serious technical damage. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Wednesday, August 13, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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The Fed stepped up and helped grease the skids for this week’s massive CMB offerings by the Treasury. The Fed has done this in the past, then quickly withdrawn the cash once it was assured that the paper had been absorbed into the market. But this time, while one CMB offering settled today, there will be another big CMB settlement on Friday. That means that the Fed might continue adding cash to the pot this week. The Fed’s adds have not been enough to completely prevent any liquidation of stocks, but have probably cushioned it somewhat. The question now is what the Treasury has in store for us next week. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Russ Winter, Wednesday, August 13, 2008, in Russ Winter, Russ's Blog |
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A new Radio Free Wall Street podcast is now available.
The following is more background and related material on the energy substitution theory I advanced in today’s podcast. Complex topic to can’t be address in one cast or a few blogs, but theme requires enormous investment.
The MIT study on the Future of Coal, also with discussion [...] To discuss this, or any issues pertaining to the economy and the financial markets,
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by Lee Adler, Wednesday, August 13, 2008, in Subscription Podcasts |
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Lee Adler, Russ Winter, and Aaron Krowne analyze the impact of key financial events on the financial markets and economy, tell what to look for in the weeks and months ahead, and discuss strategies for the short, intermediate and long term? Not a subscriber? Click here for a free extended preview of this podcast.
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We have also updated our free sample podcast! Hear the 7/29/08 podcast now, FREE. Click here to listen and while you are doing that, subscribe!.
If you have a question that you would like us to address in our next podcast, please post them in the comments section below.
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by Lee Adler, Wednesday, August 13, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 12, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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The market’s stumble on Tuesday did little technical damage. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 12, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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The Fed announced the results of the first 84 day TAF auction and they were not pretty. Rates shot up and the spread to the minimum bid was the widest since the Fed introduced the program in January. Meanwhile the Treasury auctioned off a huge amount of 4 week bills and 155 day CMBs without a hitch, other than a continuation of the surge in T bill rates that began when the new CMB offerings were announced. The Fed didn’t need to do much today, but that may change over the next couple of days as the new short term bills settle. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Tuesday, August 12, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Russ Winter, Tuesday, August 12, 2008, in Russ Winter, Russ's Blog |
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I am now trying to apply some game theory to the energy market. This involves several issues, first is demand destruction from high prices, second is substitution, and the third is national security and dependence. The later has a huge price tag or externality attached as the United States overextends itself militarily, and gets involved [...] To discuss this, or any issues pertaining to the economy and the financial markets,
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by Andy Bebut, Monday, August 11, 2008, in Economics |
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Here I’m trying to make several observations that hint the medium-term stock market distribution had started, when smart money are selling stocks to Cramer minions.
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by Lee Adler, Monday, August 11, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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The market fought to hold on to its recent gains, extending the up phase and solidifying indications of a 6 month cycle turn. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Monday, August 11, 2008, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition |
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At the current pace of debt increase, the US government’s deficit will reach $1 trillion within the current 12 month span. Why is there no sense of alarm on Wall Street? The Treasury dropped another stink bomb today in the form of another unforeseen Cash Management Bill, the second to be auctioned this week, raising a combined total of $57 billion. Why has the Treasury run out of money so quickly? How long can it keep returning to the trough for more and more and more without adverse repercussions? The Fed was forced to answer the call today with an add of $7 billion in today’s Open Market Operations. Is this the first salvo in what will become an essential campaign of massive monetization? Stay tuned. We are about to find out. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Lee Adler, Monday, August 11, 2008, in Precious Metals, Professional Edition |
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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by Russ Winter, Monday, August 11, 2008, in Russ Winter, Russ's Blog |
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The crash of China’s stock market is now pretty much along the lines seen in the 1929-1932 US crash, the Japanese 1989-1992 crash and the NASDAQ bust. Last night it fell another 5.2% to 2,470. I recall the hook last year on this one: “the Chinese authorities would hold it all together until after the [...] To discuss this, or any issues pertaining to the economy and the financial markets,
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by Lee Adler, Sunday, August 10, 2008, in Today's Markets, Professional Edition |
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The market sent a number of signals on Friday that the 6 month cycle up phase was strengthening and had developed at least a mildly positive slope. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
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